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National Restaurant Association - June RPI: Improved current conditions but softer outlook

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June RPI: Improved current conditions but softer outlook

Bolstered by stronger same-store sales and customer traffic levels, the Restaurant Performance Index (RPI) stood at 101.4 in June, unchanged from May's level. June represented the eighth consecutive month that the RPI remained above 100, signifying expansion in the index of key industry indicators.

"The latest Restaurant Performance Index reflects improvements in each of the four current situation indicators in June," said Hudson Riehle, senior vice president of the Research and Knowledge Group for the Association. "Restaurant operators reported positive same-store sales and customer traffic, while their capital spending activity advanced for the second consecutive month."


"However, although the overall current operating environment remains positive, operators have definitely tempered their expectations for the future. Each of the four expectations indicators softened in June, including restaurant operators' least positive economic outlook in eight months. Still, market conditions are substantially better than two and three years ago," Riehle added.

The RPI consists of two components - the Current Situation Index (measuring current trends) and the Expectations Index (measuring restaurant operators' six-month outlook) - and tracks the health of and outlook for the U.S. restaurant industry.

Restaurant operators reported positive same-store sales for the 13th consecutive month in June. Sixty-one percent of restaurant operators reported a same-store sales gain between June 2011 and June 2012, unchanged from the proportion who reported a sales gain in May. Meanwhile, 24 percent of operators reported lower same-store sales in June, down from 28 percent in May.

Restaurant operators reported stronger customer traffic levels in June. Fifty percent of restaurant operators reported higher customer traffic levels between June 2011 and June 2012, up from 42 percent who reported positive traffic in May. In comparison, 29 percent of operators reported lower customer traffic levels in June, down from 39 percent in May.

The Expectations Index stood at 101.3 in June - down 0.7 percent from May and the third consecutive monthly decline. Although June marked the tenth consecutive month that the Expectations Index stood above 100, it also represented the weakest level in seven months.

For additional details, see our news release, full RPI report, and subscription-based Restaurant TrendMapper.

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